Doesn't the 1% control everything? ** -- Wahoo Gus 10/30/2020 5:02PM
Serious question about this.. -- Los Angeles Hoo 10/30/2020 2:30PM
538 has that. If Trump wins FL and OH, it predicts Trump will win 36%. -- JohnHoo2 10/30/2020 4:00PM
It isn't that simple. They run thousands of scenarios and adjust for -- Seattle .Hoo 10/30/2020 3:04PM
Yeah -- it's the Monte Carlo that I had in mind when.. -- Los Angeles Hoo 10/30/2020 3:10PM
Here....538 addresses this directly. -- Seattle .Hoo 10/30/2020 3:14PM
Thanks, SH -- I'll check it out. ** -- Los Angeles Hoo 10/30/2020 3:23PM
To be sure, one election every 4 years with constantly changing -- Shenhoo 10/30/2020 3:05PM
Well said. Maybe I should have tried to put it so succinctly! ** -- Los Angeles Hoo 10/30/2020 3:11PM
I tend to agree with you. But I have -- Shenhoo 10/30/2020 2:34PM
Yeah, I'd guess that if... -- Los Angeles Hoo 10/30/2020 2:43PM
538 has that, although it seems like it the margin would also matter. -- hoodeyo 10/30/2020 3:13PM
Very cool. Been on their site 500 times. Never noticed that trick. ** -- Shenhoo 10/30/2020 3:17PM
PA. It's PA. Seriously. Biden can easily lose FL and OH. -- Shenhoo 10/30/2020 2:49PM
Absolutely agree about NC and GA. If Biden wins one of them it's a great -- Seattle .Hoo 10/30/2020 3:10PM
I disagree on the final result, but I agree that... -- Los Angeles Hoo 10/30/2020 3:24PM
I've thought for awhile that if... -- Los Angeles Hoo 10/30/2020 2:58PM
Bit of tongue in cheek about the lawsuits over the -- Shenhoo 10/30/2020 3:04PM
God, please save us from this! :) ** -- Los Angeles Hoo 10/30/2020 3:06PM
Wanna hear the real nightmare scenario? -- Shenhoo 10/30/2020 3:11PM
I know -- I might be able to top that one, though... -- Los Angeles Hoo 10/30/2020 3:22PM
We could devise like a decathlon. With some events playing to -- Shenhoo 10/30/2020 3:26PM
I literally LOL'd at this. Well done. ** -- Los Angeles Hoo 10/30/2020 3:38PM
That would be worrisome. Like the election of 1876. But I don't think it's -- Seattle .Hoo 10/30/2020 3:25PM
It's all about turnout now in key states. 85M in is encouraging. At this -- Seattle .Hoo 10/30/2020 2:17PM
Yeah, the pollsters hopefully have learned from the past, but -- HoosWillWin 10/30/2020 2:00PM
No doubt ** -- Shenhoo 10/30/2020 2:05PM
If you believe... ** -- hoothat 10/30/2020 1:55PM